Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.062955 0.071178 0.079588 0.088801 0.098579 0.108620 0.119683
2025-08-17 0.049554 0.061609 0.074546 0.089321 0.105600 0.122870 0.142465
2025-08-24 0.038842 0.052731 0.068289 0.086689 0.107565 0.130262 0.156561
2025-08-31 0.031087 0.045968 0.063321 0.084485 0.109099 0.136394 0.168550
2025-09-07 0.026631 0.042466 0.061579 0.085477 0.113812 0.145708 0.183745
2025-09-14 0.023374 0.040013 0.060735 0.087215 0.119127 0.155496 0.199296
2025-09-21 0.021460 0.039039 0.061511 0.090735 0.126405 0.167441 0.217231
2025-09-28 0.018847 0.036815 0.060479 0.091849 0.130665 0.175766 0.230912
2025-10-05 0.018970 0.038387 0.064331 0.099037 0.142253 0.192696 0.254588
2025-10-12 0.016130 0.035385 0.061958 0.098210 0.143962 0.197876 0.264508
2025-10-19 0.014522 0.034039 0.061674 0.099948 0.148741 0.206644 0.278585
2025-10-26 0.012579 0.031949 0.060220 0.100052 0.151404 0.212816 0.289556
2025-11-02 0.011101 0.030555 0.059793 0.101654 0.156179 0.221840 0.304313
2025-11-09 0.009472 0.028710 0.058623 0.102221 0.159648 0.229324 0.317319
2025-11-16 0.007251 0.025418 0.055080 0.099383 0.158616 0.231191 0.323497
2025-11-23 0.005482 0.022597 0.052004 0.097004 0.158034 0.233504 0.330122
2025-11-30 0.004623 0.021465 0.051451 0.098075 0.161893 0.241274 0.343321
2025-12-07 0.004007 0.020748 0.051495 0.099950 0.166785 0.250318 0.358062
2025-12-14 0.003759 0.020863 0.052880 0.103746 0.174221 0.262552 0.376707
2025-12-21 0.003155 0.019952 0.052500 0.104946 0.178180 0.270413 0.390011
2025-12-28 0.003515 0.021657 0.056572 0.112679 0.190908 0.289342 0.416897
2026-01-04 0.002696 0.019974 0.054798 0.111791 0.192045 0.293643 0.425851
2026-01-11 0.002314 0.019417 0.054914 0.113657 0.196871 0.302595 0.440511